Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Pro win with a probability of 46.81%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 26.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Pro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.01%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 1-0 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dalian Pro would win this match.

Result
Guangzhou City	Draw	Dalian Pro
26.41% ( 1.91)	26.78% ( 1.33)	46.81% ( -3.24)

Both teams to score 47.83% (

-2.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.46% (

-3.67)

56.54% (

3.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.47% (

-3.05)

77.53% (

3.05)

Guangzhou City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.06% (

-0.36)

36.94% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.27% (

-0.36)

73.73% (

0.36)

Dalian Pro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.85% (

-3.01)

24.15% (

3.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.53% (

-4.47)

58.47% (

4.48)

Score Analysis

Guangzhou City 26.41%

Dalian Pro 46.8%

Draw 26.78%

Guangzhou City	Draw	Dalian Pro
1-0 @ 8.89% ( 1.11) 2-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.51) 3-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.16) Other @ 1.78% Total : 26.41%	1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.54) 0-0 @ 8.92% ( 1.19) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.78%	0-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.66) 0-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.42) 0-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.57) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.62) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.33) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.36) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.38) Other @ 2.51% Total : 46.8%