Chinese Super League | Gameweek 6
Jun 24, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Pennant Hills Park

Guangzhou City
1 - 3
Changchun

Zhizhao (38')
Cardona (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Serginho (2'), Zhang (20'), Lima (56')
Wang (16'), Tudi (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou City and Changchun Yatai, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guangzhou City

Last Six:
Last Game: Guangzhou City 2-4 Zhejiang
Monday, June 20 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

Changchun Yatai

Last Six:
Last Game: Changchun 0-0 Henan
Monday, June 20 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 24.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 1-0 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.

Result
Guangzhou CityDrawChangchun Yatai
24.68% (0.032999999999998 0.03)24.93% (0.013999999999999 0.01)50.39% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.73% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.32% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)50.68% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.41% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)72.58% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Guangzhou City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.76% (0.012 0.01)35.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01% (0.010999999999999 0.01)71.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.87% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)20.12% (0.032999999999998 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.62% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)52.38% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou City 24.68%
    Changchun Yatai 50.38%
    Draw 24.92%
Guangzhou CityDrawChangchun Yatai
1-0 @ 7.39% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 3.86% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.72%
3-0 @ 1.34% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 24.68%
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 7.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 11.36%
1-2 @ 9.51% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 9.11% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.08% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.87% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 50.38%

How you voted: Guangzhou City vs Changchun

Guangzhou City
8.3%
Draw
0.0%
Changchun Yatai
91.7%
12
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2022 10.30am
Changchun
4-1
Guangzhou City
Long (22', 34', 66'), Negrao (52')
Tudi (60')
Wu (90')
Wang (76')
Dec 26, 2021 10am
Changchun
2-1
Guangzhou City
Lima (35'), Negrao (78')
Li (43'), Yang (85'), Chen (90+2')
Wen (21')
Yunlong (57'), Cardona (79'), Gong (80'), Tixiang (83')
Dec 13, 2021 10am
Guangzhou City
0-2
Changchun
Lima (5'), Negrao (85')
(21'), Jie (75'), Long (90+5')
Aug 18, 2018 12.35pm
Guangzhou City
5-2
Changchun
Urso (27'), Tosic (38'), Zhi (45'), Zahavi (73', 90')
Haifeng (68')
Ighalo (12'), Long (78')
Tiancheng (24')
Mar 31, 2018 8.30am
Changchun
1-2
Guangzhou City
Zhang (61')
Chao (42'), Li (68')
Rui (90')
Zahavi (78'), Renatinho (90' pen.)
Zhang (26'), Cheng (90')
rhs 2.0


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