Chinese Super League | Gameweek 4
Jun 15, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Yuexiushan Stadium
Henan

Guangzhou City
0 - 3
Henan


Gong (11')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dourado (37'), Han (56'), Boxuan (90+1')
Du (25'), Ma (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou City and Henan Songshan Longmen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guangzhou City

Last Six:
Last Game: Guangzhou City 0-1 Shandong
Sunday, June 12 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League

Henan Songshan Longmen

Last Six:
Last Game: Henan 3-1 Zhejiang
Saturday, June 11 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Guangzhou City win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Henan Songshan Longmen would win this match.

Result
Guangzhou CityDrawHenan Songshan Longmen
33.22% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)27.03% (0.0010000000000012 0)39.75% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.43% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.19% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)54.81% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.89% (-0.004999999999999 -0)76.12% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Guangzhou City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.06% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)30.94% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.77% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)67.23% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Henan Songshan Longmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.02% (0.018999999999991 0.02)26.98% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.67% (0.024000000000001 0.02)62.33% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou City 33.22%
    Henan Songshan Longmen 39.74%
    Draw 27.02%
Guangzhou CityDrawHenan Songshan Longmen
1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.75% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 33.22%
1-1 @ 12.82%
0-0 @ 8.35% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.02%
0-1 @ 10.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.4% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-2 @ 7.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 39.74%

Head to Head
Aug 11, 2021 1pm
Henan
1-1
Guangzhou City
Kyum (49')
Boxuan (32'), Luo (78'), Chow (90+3')
Leonco (67')
Guilherme (37'), Jihong (39'), Pengfei (53'), Dembele (74')
Jul 21, 2021 1pm
Guangzhou City
1-1
Henan
Sunjic (56' og.)
Tixiang (47')
Wang (3')
Luo (85'), Chow (90')
Nov 1, 2020 7.30am
Henan
3-2
Guangzhou City
Bassogog (41' pen.), Luo (76'), Karanga (90+2')
Karanga (15'), Luo (34'), Cao (80'), Niu (86')
Ye (12'), Tosic (68')
Teng (40'), Tosic (45+4'), Tixiang (90+4')
Teng (63'), Tosic (80')
Oct 27, 2020 7.30am
Guangzhou City
1-2
Henan
Mierzejewski (30')
Gong (23')
Gong (59')
Boxuan (33'), Wang (70')
Dourado (60'), Boxuan (84')
Sep 8, 2020 11am
Guangzhou City
3-1
Henan
Saba (12', 39'), Ye (43')
Ye (13'), Dembele (40')
Dourado (35' pen.)
Kim (30'), Ma (42'), Chow (58'), Dourado (60')