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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 5
Jun 21, 2022 at 1pm UK
Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium

Shandong
3 - 0
Dalian Pro

Fellaini (69'), Moises (86'), Qi (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Peng (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Chinese Super League clash between Shandong Taishan and Dalian Pro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Shandong Taishan 1-1 Dalian Pro

Shandong probably have the advantage heading into this contest, the home side showing a greater cutting edge in the final third. However, Dalian will be equally satisfied with their start to the campaign and another stalemate here would be regarded as a step in the right direction. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 45.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 26.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Dalian Pro win it was 0-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.

Result
Shandong TaishanDrawDalian Pro
45.68% (0.122 0.12) 27.57% (0.07 0.07) 26.75% (-0.188 -0.19)
Both teams to score 45.89% (-0.313 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.85% (-0.334 -0.33)59.15% (0.336 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.42% (-0.257 -0.26)79.59% (0.26000000000001 0.26)
Shandong Taishan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.13% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)25.87% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.15% (-0.124 -0.12)60.85% (0.126 0.13)
Dalian Pro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.91% (-0.346 -0.35)38.09% (0.348 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.14% (-0.333 -0.33)74.86% (0.336 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Shandong Taishan 45.67%
    Dalian Pro 26.75%
    Draw 27.57%
Shandong TaishanDrawDalian Pro
1-0 @ 13.32% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 9.01% (0.066999999999998 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.92% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 45.67%
1-1 @ 12.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.86% (0.125 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.57%
0-1 @ 9.51% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.59% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 26.75%

How you voted: Shandong vs Dalian Pro

Shandong Taishan
43.8%
Draw
37.5%
Dalian Pro
18.8%
16
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2020 1pm
Shandong
0-1
Dalian Pro

Zheng (40'), Junmin (69')
Liangming (62')
Bo (9'), Yaopeng (80')
Jul 26, 2020 8.30am
Dalian Pro
2-3
Shandong
Rondon (57'), Danielsson (90+3')
Dong (21'), Larsson (69')
Fellaini (79', 83', 87')
Jul 27, 2019 12.35pm
Dalian Pro
1-0
Shandong
Boateng (20')
Yaopeng (37'), Carrasco (63')

Lin (14')
Apr 14, 2019 10.30am
Shandong
0-1
Dalian Pro
Mushekwi (44')
Carrasco (15'), Xiaogang (52'), Li (56'), Yupeng (90')
Li (76')
Sep 1, 2018 12.35pm
Dalian Pro
4-3
Shandong
Gaitan (33'), Ting (36'), Carrasco (61' pen.), Qiang (86')
Shuai (72'), Gaitan (87')
Xinghan (57'), Chi (70'), Pelle (78')
Junsheng (36'), Tardelli (50'), Jingdao (50'), Gil (60'), Chi (87'), Junshuai (87')
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