Jun 28, 2022 at 11.30am UK at Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium
2 - 0
Wang (31'), Wang (67'), Yang (90+2')
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Chinese Super League clash between Shandong Taishan and Henan Songshan Longmen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
We said: Shandong Taishan 1-1 Henan Songshan Longmen
Both sides have kicked off the new campaign in fine fashion and we expect a thrilling contest as they battle to strengthen their position in the upper echelons of the table. While Henan boasts one of the most lethal attacks in the league, we are backing Shandong Taishan to maintain their solid home form and force a share of the spoils.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.