Sports Mole previews Saturday's Chinese Super League clash between Dalian Pro and Changchun Yatai, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
We said: Dalian Pro 1-2 Changchun Yatai
There is little to choose between the teams coming into this one, and the game could easily swing either way. That said, we fancy the visitors to just about see off the threat of the home side and emerge victorious in the end.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Dalian Pro win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.