Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Dalian Pro win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.