Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.66%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 (11.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.