Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Henan Songshan Longmen would win this match.