Chinese Super League | Gameweek 10

Jul 11, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium

Henan
6 - 2
Changchun

Serginho (2' og.), Dourado (45'), Zhong (45+2'), Zichang (63'), Mawlanyaz (69'), Han (84')
Wang (20')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Lima (20'), Negrao (65')
Ndlovu (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Chinese Super League clash between Henan Songshan Longmen and Changchun Yatai, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Henan Songshan Longmen would win this match.

Result
Henan Songshan Longmen	Draw	Changchun Yatai
35.86% ( 0.81)	27.49% ( -0.06)	36.65% ( -0.75)

Both teams to score 49.36% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.68% (

0.28)

56.32% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.65% (

0.22)

77.35% (

-0.23)

Henan Songshan Longmen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.01% (

0.65)

29.99% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.89% (

0.77)

66.11% (

-0.77)

Changchun Yatai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.5% (

-0.31)

29.5% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.49% (

-0.39)

65.51% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Henan Songshan Longmen 35.85%

Changchun Yatai 36.65%

Draw 27.49%

Henan Songshan Longmen	Draw	Changchun Yatai
1-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.37% Total : 35.85%	1-1 @ 13% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.49%	0-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.65%