Henan
Chinese Super League | Gameweek 9
Jul 7, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium

Henan
2 - 1
Guangzhou City

Zichang (56', 82')
Mawlanyaz (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Chun Lok (32')
Gong (45'), Zhizhao (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Chinese Super League clash between Henan Songshan Longmen and Guangzhou City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Henan Songshan Longmen

Last Six:
Last Game: Zhejiang 0-1 Henan
Sunday, July 3 at 1pm in Chinese Super League

Guangzhou City

Last Six:
Last Game: Shandong 2-0 Guangzhou City
Sunday, July 3 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 60.92%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 16.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Henan Songshan Longmen would win this match.

Result
Henan Songshan LongmenDrawGuangzhou City
60.92% (-0.058 -0.06)23.03% (-0.02 -0.02)16.05% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
Both teams to score 44.54% (0.21599999999999 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.43% (0.201 0.2)53.57% (-0.202 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.92% (0.167 0.17)75.08% (-0.17 -0.17)
Henan Songshan Longmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.78% (0.049999999999997 0.05)17.21% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.5% (0.091000000000001 0.09)47.5% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)
Guangzhou City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.8% (0.226 0.23)46.19% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.13% (0.175 0.17)81.87% (-0.176 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Henan Songshan Longmen 60.91%
    Guangzhou City 16.05%
    Draw 23.03%
Henan Songshan LongmenDrawGuangzhou City
1-0 @ 13.99% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 12.3% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.58% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.18% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.45% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.12%
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 60.91%
1-1 @ 10.8%
0-0 @ 7.95% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.67% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 23.03%
0-1 @ 6.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.17% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.37% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.07% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.95% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 16.05%

How you voted: Henan vs Guangzhou City

Henan Songshan Longmen
100%
Draw
0.0%
Guangzhou City
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Jun 15, 2022 12.30pm
Guangzhou City
0-3
Henan

Gong (11')
Dourado (37'), Han (56'), Boxuan (90+1')
Du (25'), Ma (65')
Aug 11, 2021 1pm
Henan
1-1
Guangzhou City
Kyum (49')
Boxuan (32'), Luo (78'), Chow (90+3')
Leonco (67')
Guilherme (37'), Jihong (39'), Pengfei (53'), Dembele (74')
Jul 21, 2021 1pm
Guangzhou City
1-1
Henan
Sunjic (56' og.)
Tixiang (47')
Wang (3')
Luo (85'), Chow (90')
Nov 1, 2020 7.30am
Henan
3-2
Guangzhou City
Bassogog (41' pen.), Luo (76'), Karanga (90+2')
Karanga (15'), Luo (34'), Cao (80'), Niu (86')
Ye (12'), Tosic (68')
Teng (40'), Tosic (45+4'), Tixiang (90+4')
Teng (63'), Tosic (80')
Oct 27, 2020 7.30am
Guangzhou City
1-2
Henan
Mierzejewski (30')
Gong (23')
Gong (59')
Boxuan (33'), Wang (70')
Dourado (60'), Boxuan (84')