Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 55.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 19.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shenzhen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Shenzhen.