Chinese Super League | Gameweek 16
Sep 20, 2022 at 10.30am UK
Changchun's People Stadium
Wuhan Three Towns

Changchun
1 - 2
Wuhan TT

Negrao (56' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Davidson (13'), Ademilson (81')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Wuhan Three Towns.

Form, Standings, Stats

Changchun Yatai

Last Six:
Last Game: Changchun 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao
Thursday, September 1 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

Wuhan Three Towns

Last Six:
Last Game: Shandong 1-1 Wuhan TT
Wednesday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 18.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.43%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.

Result
Changchun YataiDrawWuhan Three Towns
18.68% (0.063000000000002 0.06)24.44% (0.046000000000003 0.05)56.88% (-0.11 -0.11)
Both teams to score 45.41% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.96% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)55.04% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.7% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)76.3% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.23% (0.021999999999998 0.02)43.77% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.07% (0.019000000000002 0.02)79.93% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Wuhan Three Towns Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.76% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)19.24% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.05% (-0.126 -0.13)50.95% (0.126 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Changchun Yatai 18.68%
    Wuhan Three Towns 56.87%
    Draw 24.43%
Changchun YataiDrawWuhan Three Towns
1-0 @ 6.96% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 4.74% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.87% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 18.68%
1-1 @ 11.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.42% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 24.43%
0-1 @ 13.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 11.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.45% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.28% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.59% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 2.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 56.87%

How you voted: Changchun vs Wuhan TT

Changchun Yatai
0.0%
Draw
16.7%
Wuhan Three Towns
83.3%
6
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!