Chinese Super League Gameweek 16
Sep 20, 2022 10.30am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Changchun's People Stadium
  • Junior Negrao 56' goal
  • goal Davidson 13'
  • goal Ademilson 81'

Changchun Yatai vs Wuhan Three Towns - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Changchun Yatai

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
Sep 1, 2022 12.30pm
Changchun 0 - 1 Chengdu
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Tan Long

Wuhan Three Towns

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
Sep 14, 2022 12.30pm
Shandong 1 - 1 Wuhan TT
Goals scored
88
Top scorer
Marcao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 18.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.43%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.

Result

Changchun Yatai 18.68% (+0.07)
Draw 24.44% (+0.05)
Wuhan Three Towns 56.88% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.41% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.96% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 55.04% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 23.7% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 76.3% (+0.08)

Changchun Yatai Goals

Over 0.5 56.23% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 43.77% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 20.07% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 79.93% (-0.02)

Wuhan Three Towns Goals

Over 0.5 80.76% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 19.24% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 49.05% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 50.95% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Changchun Yatai 18.68%
Draw 24.43%
Wuhan Three Towns 56.87%
Changchun Yatai
1-0 @ 6.96% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 4.74% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 2.87% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.31% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 18.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.46% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.42% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 24.43%
Wuhan Three Towns
0-1 @ 13.87% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 11.43% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.45% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.28% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 5.19% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 2.59% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.14% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 56.87%