Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 42.79%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 27.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.75%) and 1-2 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chengdu Qianbao in this match.