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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 15
Aug 27, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Yuexiushan Stadium

Guangzhou City
1 - 2
Chengdu Qianbao

Hong (69')
Guilherme (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Romulo (42'), Wu (63')
Xin (85')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou City and Chengdu Rongcheng.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Beijing Guoan 1-0 Guangzhou City
Monday, August 22 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Shandong 2-1 Chengdu Qianbao
Sunday, August 21 at 12pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 73.64%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 9.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.86%) and 0-3 (10.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 1-0 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.

Result
Guangzhou CityDrawChengdu Qianbao
9.11% (0.4569 0.46) 17.26% (0.72 0.72) 73.64% (-1.171 -1.17)
Both teams to score 41.7% (-0.42599999999999 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.13% (-1.703 -1.7)45.88% (1.708 1.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.82% (-1.634 -1.63)68.19% (1.641 1.64)
Guangzhou City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.81% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)53.19% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.23% (-0.051 -0.05)86.77% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Chengdu Qianbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.08% (-0.75099999999999 -0.75)10.93% (0.757 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.88% (-1.697 -1.7)35.12% (1.703 1.7)
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou City 9.11%
    Chengdu Qianbao 73.63%
    Draw 17.26%
Guangzhou CityDrawChengdu Qianbao
1-0 @ 3.67% (0.251 0.25)
2-1 @ 2.56% (0.091 0.09)
2-0 @ 1.16% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 9.11%
1-1 @ 8.12% (0.311 0.31)
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.411 0.41)
2-2 @ 2.84% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 17.26%
0-2 @ 14.24% (0.14 0.14)
0-1 @ 12.86% (0.52 0.52)
0-3 @ 10.51% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-2 @ 8.99% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 6.64% (-0.167 -0.17)
0-4 @ 5.82% (-0.324 -0.32)
1-4 @ 3.67% (-0.214 -0.21)
0-5 @ 2.58% (-0.232 -0.23)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-5 @ 1.63% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-6 @ 0.95% (-0.119 -0.12)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 73.63%

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