Chinese Super League | Gameweek 9

Jul 8, 2022 at 9.30am UK

Chengdu Qianbao
2 - 1
Tianjin Jinmen

Ruibao (30'), Abdugheni (73')
Liu (53')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dun (51')
Zhao (55'), Yuanjie (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Chinese Super League clash between Chengdu Qianbao and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chengdu Qianbao

Last Game: Chengdu Qianbao 1-1 Cangzhou
Monday, July 4 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 49.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 22.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 0-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.

Result
Chengdu Qianbao	Draw	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
49.99% ( 1.4)	27.35% ( -0.39)	22.66% ( -1.01)

Both teams to score 42.99% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.95% (

0.51)

61.04% (

-0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.97% (

0.38)

81.02% (

-0.38)

Chengdu Qianbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.35% (

0.89)

24.64% (

-0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.84% (

1.23)

59.16% (

-1.23)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.05% (

-0.7)

42.95% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.75% (

-0.6)

79.25% (

0.6)

Score Analysis

Chengdu Qianbao 49.98%

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 22.66%

Draw 27.33%

Chengdu Qianbao	Draw	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1-0 @ 14.82% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.2% Total : 49.98%	1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.53% Total : 27.33%	0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.35) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.04% Total : 22.66%