Chinese Super League | Gameweek 3
Jun 13, 2022 at 9.30am UK
Workers' Stadium
Tianjin Jinmen

Beijing Guoan
1 - 0
Tianjin Jinmen

Dabro (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Radonjic (90+6')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Beijing Guoan in this match.

Result
Beijing GuoanDrawTianjin Jinmen Tiger
45.82% (0.667 0.67)26.39% (-0.303 -0.3)27.78% (-0.364 -0.36)
Both teams to score 49.92% (0.65499999999999 0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.69% (0.963 0.96)54.31% (-0.963 -0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.3% (0.798 0.8)75.7% (-0.798 -0.8)
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.35% (0.742 0.74)23.64% (-0.741 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.26% (1.058 1.06)57.74% (-1.057 -1.06)
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.38% (0.22499999999999 0.22)34.62% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.66% (0.239 0.24)71.34% (-0.239 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Beijing Guoan 45.82%
    Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 27.78%
    Draw 26.39%
Beijing GuoanDrawTianjin Jinmen Tiger
1-0 @ 11.8% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.108 0.11)
2-0 @ 8.51% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.34% (0.144 0.14)
3-0 @ 4.09% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.084 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 45.82%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 8.19% (-0.312 -0.31)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 8.68% (-0.275 -0.28)
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.61% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 27.78%

Head to Head
Aug 9, 2021 11.30am
Tianjin Jinmen
3-1
Beijing Guoan
Zhou (34'), Shi (81'), Iloki (90+4' pen.)
Wangsong (84')
Bai (89')
Zhang (64')
Tianyi (84'), Wang (87'), Li (90+3')
Zhongguo (86')
Jul 19, 2021 9.30am
Beijing Guoan
0-0
Tianjin Jinmen

Souza (46')

Teng (90+1'), Cruz (90+5')
Sep 10, 2020 11am
Beijing Guoan
2-0
Tianjin Jinmen
Zhang (30'), Augusto (47')
Yennaris (23'), Jin (44')

Ruofan (62'), Honglue (63'), Hao (68')
Aug 6, 2020 11am
Tianjin Jinmen
1-3
Beijing Guoan
Hao (61')
Carvalho (39'), Xizhe (77'), Liu (90' og.)
Dabao (45'), Xizhe (90+1')
Oct 26, 2019 12.35pm
Beijing Guoan
3-1
Tianjin Jinmen
Bakambu (25'), Augusto (80'), Wang (88')
Peng (67'), Jin (90')
Wagner (64')
Yang (55')