Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 48.78%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 24.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.63%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 1-0 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.