Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 50.17%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 21.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.