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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 5
Jun 21, 2022 at 9.30am UK
Workers' Stadium
Shenzhen FC

Beijing Guoan
4 - 1
Shenzhen

Zhang (2', 60'), Dabao (52'), Ziming (88')
Wang (43'), Zou (47'), Memisevic (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Acheampong (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Shenzhen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Beijing Guoan

Last Six:
Last Game: Meizhou Hakka 2-2 Beijing Guoan
Friday, June 17 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

Shenzhen

Last Six:
Last Game: Shenzhen 1-0 Cangzhou
Friday, June 17 at 9.30am in Chinese Super League

We said: Beijing Guoan 1-1 Shenzhen

 Both teams have already hinted this campaign that they have the quality to maintain a title push, and that should make for a competitive fixture on Tuesday. Nevertheless, the side may also err on the side of caution, leading us to predict a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Beijing GuoanDrawShenzhen
30.76% (-0.508 -0.51) 24.82% (-0.403 -0.4) 44.41% (0.909 0.91)
Both teams to score 56.68% (1.106 1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.67% (1.555 1.56)46.32% (-1.558 -1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.38% (1.448 1.45)68.61% (-1.45 -1.45)
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.67% (0.43700000000001 0.44)28.33% (-0.439 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.94% (0.549 0.55)64.05% (-0.551 -0.55)
Shenzhen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.08% (1.066 1.07)20.92% (-1.068 -1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.36% (1.642 1.64)53.64% (-1.644 -1.64)
Score Analysis
    Beijing Guoan 30.76%
    Shenzhen 44.41%
    Draw 24.82%
Beijing GuoanDrawShenzhen
1-0 @ 7.47% (-0.406 -0.41)
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.71% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-1 @ 3.1% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.086 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 30.76%
1-1 @ 11.69% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-0 @ 5.92% (-0.399 -0.4)
2-2 @ 5.77% (0.137 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 9.27% (-0.309 -0.31)
1-2 @ 9.15% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 7.25% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.77% (0.206 0.21)
0-3 @ 3.78% (0.118 0.12)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.165 0.17)
1-4 @ 1.87% (0.137 0.14)
0-4 @ 1.48% (0.092 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 44.41%

How you voted: Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen

Beijing Guoan
66.7%
Draw
26.7%
Shenzhen
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2022 7.30am
Shenzhen
0-1
Beijing Guoan

Yuan (32'), Zhou (54'), Shuai (61'), Yuanyi (79')
Cao (11')
Dec 22, 2021 10am
Beijing Guoan
2-2
Shenzhen
Silva (10'), Zhang (69')
Sen (81'), Li (90+2')
Pengxiang (19')
Kardec (62'), Yuanyi (89')
Yuan (20'), Lin (25')
Zhou (13')
Sep 13, 2019 12.35pm
Shenzhen
1-1
Beijing Guoan
Chao (15')
Sousa (3'), Yuanyi (21'), Ge (30')
Bakambu (74')
Zhongguo (3')
May 12, 2019 12.35pm
Beijing Guoan
3-0
Shenzhen
Bakambu (12', 19'), Augusto (62')

Peng (15'), Xin (24'), Yuan (48'), Wei (90')
rhs 2.0
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