Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Shenzhen.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Shenzhen |
| 32.15% | 24.54% | 43.31% |
| Both teams to score 58.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.52% | 44.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.15% | 66.85% |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.48% | 26.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.28% | 61.72% |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.36% | 20.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.79% | 53.21% |
| Score Analysis |
Beijing Guoan 32.15%
Shenzhen 43.31%
Draw 24.53%
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Shenzhen |
| 2-1 @ 7.61% 1-0 @ 7.27% 2-0 @ 4.82% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.66% 3-0 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.19% Total : 32.15% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 9.05% 0-1 @ 8.64% 0-2 @ 6.82% 1-3 @ 4.76% 0-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 3.16% 1-4 @ 1.88% 0-4 @ 1.41% 2-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.78% Total : 43.31% |


