Chinese Super League | Gameweek 14
Aug 12, 2021 at 1.30pm UK
Workers Stadium

Beijing Guoan
2 - 1
Changchun

Zhang (53', 90')
Tianyi (57'), Li (77'), Ziming (83'), Xizhe (90+4'), Bai (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Negrao (74')
Weihui (23')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Changchun Yatai.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.12%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Beijing Guoan in this match.

Result
Beijing GuoanDrawChangchun Yatai
40.89%23.68%35.43%
Both teams to score 62.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.51%39.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.17%61.83%
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.37%19.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.4%51.6%
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.72%22.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.26%55.74%
Score Analysis
    Beijing Guoan 40.89%
    Changchun Yatai 35.43%
    Draw 23.67%
Beijing GuoanDrawChangchun Yatai
2-1 @ 8.7%
1-0 @ 7.12%
2-0 @ 5.8%
3-1 @ 4.72%
3-2 @ 3.55%
3-0 @ 3.15%
4-1 @ 1.92%
4-2 @ 1.44%
4-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 40.89%
1-1 @ 10.69%
2-2 @ 6.53%
0-0 @ 4.38%
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 8.03%
0-1 @ 6.57%
0-2 @ 4.93%
1-3 @ 4.02%
2-3 @ 3.27%
0-3 @ 2.47%
1-4 @ 1.51%
2-4 @ 1.23%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 35.43%

rhs 2.0


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