Tianjin Jinmen

1 - 4

Changchun

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.