The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Chinese Super League clash between Tianjin Jinmen Tiger and Beijing Guoan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shenzhen 2-3 Tianjin Jinmen
Wednesday, June 29 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Wednesday, June 29 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 7 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Changchun Yatai | 7 | 1 | 10 |
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 0-0 Chengdu Qianbao
Thursday, June 30 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Thursday, June 30 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 7 | 8 | 14 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 7 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 7 | 2 | 11 |
We said: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 1-1 Beijing Guoan
Beijing boast a very good record in this fixture, and they will back themselves to get the job done on Sunday. However, Tianjin are playing with real belief at the moment, so we are backing a share of the spoils here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
32.73% ( -0.56) | 27.19% ( 0.07) | 40.08% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 49.82% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
