Chinese Super League | Gameweek 11
Aug 5, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Pennant Hills Park

Hebei
0 - 1
Chengdu Qianbao

FT(HT: 0-0)
Silva (77')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Hebei and Chengdu Rongcheng.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hebei

Last Six:
Last Game: Hebei 0-1 Guangzhou
Monday, July 11 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

Chengdu Qianbao

Last Six:
Last Game: Meizhou Hakka 1-2 Chengdu Qianbao
Monday, July 11 at 9.30am in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 66.78%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 12.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.12%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Hebei win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chengdu Qianbao in this match.

Result
HebeiDrawChengdu Qianbao
12.8% (0.239 0.24)20.41% (-0.23 -0.23)66.78% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.34% (1.324 1.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.53% (1.421 1.42)49.46% (-1.425 -1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.49% (1.264 1.26)71.5% (-1.268 -1.27)
Hebei Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.5% (1.274 1.27)48.49% (-1.279 -1.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.41% (0.906 0.91)83.59% (-0.911 -0.91)
Chengdu Qianbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.08% (0.446 0.45)13.92% (-0.451 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.63% (0.875 0.88)41.36% (-0.88 -0.88)
Score Analysis
    Hebei 12.8%
    Chengdu Qianbao 66.77%
    Draw 20.41%
HebeiDrawChengdu Qianbao
1-0 @ 4.88% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-1 @ 3.49% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 1.77% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 12.8%
1-1 @ 9.63% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.401 -0.4)
2-2 @ 3.44% (0.16 0.16)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 20.41%
0-1 @ 13.3% (-0.57 -0.57)
0-2 @ 13.12% (-0.33 -0.33)
1-2 @ 9.5% (0.107 0.11)
0-3 @ 8.63% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-3 @ 6.24% (0.17 0.17)
0-4 @ 4.25% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 3.08% (0.131 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.14 0.14)
0-5 @ 1.68% (0.038 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.21% (0.071 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 66.77%