Chinese Super League | Gameweek 5
Jun 19, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Jinzhou Stadium

Guangzhou
1 - 0
Hebei

Yang (67')
Asqer (22'), Chen (35'), Huang (61'), Browning (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Zhang (20'), Bao (43')
Zhang (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou and Hebei, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guangzhou

Last Six:
Last Game: Shanghai Port 1-0 Guangzhou
Wednesday, June 15 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League

Hebei

Last Six:
Last Game: Hebei 1-3 Sh. Shenhua
Thursday, June 16 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hebei win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Guangzhou had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hebei win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Guangzhou win was 1-0 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Guangzhou in this match.

Result
GuangzhouDrawHebei
32.47% (0.806 0.81)28.04% (0.352 0.35)39.48% (-1.157 -1.16)
Both teams to score 47.24% (-0.78100000000001 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.25% (-1.09 -1.09)58.74% (1.093 1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.73% (-0.855 -0.86)79.27% (0.857 0.86)
Guangzhou Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)33.46% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.91% (0.0039999999999978 0)70.09% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Hebei Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.99% (-1.177 -1.18)29.01% (1.18 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.09% (-1.484 -1.48)64.91% (1.485 1.49)
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou 32.47%
    Hebei 39.48%
    Draw 28.04%
GuangzhouDrawHebei
1-0 @ 10.62% (0.43 0.43)
2-1 @ 7.2% (0.062 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.82% (0.236 0.24)
3-1 @ 2.63% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.12% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 32.47%
1-1 @ 13.15% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 9.71% (0.395 0.4)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.04%
0-1 @ 12.01% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.202 -0.2)
0-2 @ 7.43% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-3 @ 3.07% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 39.48%

How you voted: Guangzhou vs Hebei

Guangzhou
50.0%
Draw
50.0%
Hebei
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2021 10am
Hebei
0-2
Guangzhou

Memisevic (36')
Ling (12'), Tan (75')
Xiuwei (24'), Shihao (31'), Ling (41')
Dec 16, 2021 10am
Guangzhou
1-1
Hebei
Shihao (49')
Zhi (33'), Chao (34'), Wu (62')
Zhang (81')
Hu (90+4')
Oct 21, 2020 12.35pm
Guangzhou
5-0
Hebei
Talisca (27', 62'), Fernandinho (36', 56'), Paulinho (81')
Linpeng (11')

Ximing (40')
Oct 16, 2020 12.35pm
Hebei
1-3
Guangzhou
Hongbo (38')
Zhang (35'), Bao (52'), Memisevic (78')
Wu (65'), Elkeson (87' pen.), Shihao (90+1')
Xin (56')
Sep 20, 2020 1am
Guangzhou
P-P
Hebei