Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 75.95%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 7.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.19%) and 0-3 (11.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Hebei win it was 1-0 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Shanghai Shenhua.
0.51) 
-0.59) 
