We said: Shanghai Port 2-1 Guangzhou
Shanghai Port will have taken encouragement from their first victory off the season, whereas the visitors are currently bereft of confidence after losing their opening three matches, and we think that Guangzhou's woes will continue on Wednesday, although it could be a close-fought contest.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 64.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 13.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.37%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shanghai Port in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Shanghai Port.
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