Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 64.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 13.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.37%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shanghai Port in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Shanghai Port.

Result
Shanghai Port	Draw	Guangzhou
64.8% ( -0.24)	21.73% ( 0.17)	13.46% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 42.35% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.8% (

-0.51)

53.2% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.23% (

-0.44)

74.76% (

0.44)

Shanghai Port Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.23% (

-0.25)

15.76% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.11% (

-0.47)

44.88% (

0.47)

Guangzhou Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.28% (

-0.2)

49.72% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.53% (

-0.14)

84.46% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Shanghai Port 64.79%

Guangzhou 13.46%

Draw 21.72%

Shanghai Port	Draw	Guangzhou
1-0 @ 14.47% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 13.37% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.82% Total : 64.79%	1-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.51% Total : 21.72%	0-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 3.54% 0-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 13.46%