Chinese Super League | Gameweek 10

Jul 11, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Qinhuangdao Olympic Sports Center Stadium

Hebei
0 - 1
Guangzhou

Zhang (12')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Yang (38')
Huang (73')
Asqer (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Chinese Super League clash between Hebei and Guangzhou, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Hebei had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Hebei win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Guangzhou in this match.

Result
Hebei	Draw	Guangzhou
28.75% ( -0.25)	26.4% ( -0.04)	44.85% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 50.5% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.15% (

0.05)

53.86% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.68% (

0.04)

75.32% (

-0.03)

Hebei Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.38% (

-0.17)

33.62% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.73% (

-0.18)

70.27% (

0.19)

Guangzhou Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.08% (

0.17)

23.92% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.87% (

0.23)

58.13% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Hebei 28.75%

Guangzhou 44.84%

Draw 26.4%

Hebei	Draw	Guangzhou
1-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.38% Total : 28.75%	1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.4%	0-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 44.84%