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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 10
Jul 11, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Qinhuangdao Olympic Sports Center Stadium

Hebei
0 - 1
Guangzhou


Zhang (12')
Zhang (26')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yang (38')
Huang (73')
Asqer (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Chinese Super League clash between Hebei and Guangzhou, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sh. Shenhua 1-0 Hebei
Thursday, July 7 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Guangzhou 0-1 Shanghai Port
Friday, July 8 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

We said: Hebei 1-1 Guangzhou

Neither team is particularly brimming with confidence ahead of this one, and we anticipate a tight encounter with little goalmouth action resulting in a share of the spoils come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Hebei had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Hebei win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Guangzhou in this match.

Result
HebeiDrawGuangzhou
28.75% (-0.25 -0.25) 26.4% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 44.85% (0.297 0.3)
Both teams to score 50.5% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.15% (0.046000000000006 0.05)53.86% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.68% (0.039000000000001 0.04)75.32% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Hebei Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.38% (-0.166 -0.17)33.62% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.73% (-0.181 -0.18)70.27% (0.18600000000001 0.19)
Guangzhou Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08% (0.166 0.17)23.92% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.87% (0.232 0.23)58.13% (-0.227 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Hebei 28.75%
    Guangzhou 44.84%
    Draw 26.4%
HebeiDrawGuangzhou
1-0 @ 8.77% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-1 @ 6.83% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.78% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.48% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 28.75%
1-1 @ 12.53% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 11.5% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.97% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.23% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.28% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.92% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.53% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.4% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 44.84%

How you voted: Hebei vs Guangzhou

Hebei
33.3%
Draw
26.7%
Guangzhou
40.0%
15
Head to Head
Jun 19, 2022 12.30pm
Guangzhou
1-0
Hebei
Yang (67')
Asqer (22'), Chen (35'), Huang (61'), Browning (90+3')
Asqer (69')

Zhang (20'), Bao (43')
Zhang (48')
Dec 29, 2021 10am
Hebei
0-2
Guangzhou

Memisevic (36')
Ling (12'), Tan (75')
Xiuwei (24'), Shihao (31'), Ling (41')
Dec 16, 2021 10am
Guangzhou
1-1
Hebei
Shihao (49')
Zhi (33'), Chao (34'), Wu (62')
Zhang (81')
Hu (90+4')
Oct 21, 2020 12.35pm
Guangzhou
5-0
Hebei
Talisca (27', 62'), Fernandinho (36', 56'), Paulinho (81')
Linpeng (11')

Ximing (40')
Oct 16, 2020 12.35pm
Hebei
1-3
Guangzhou
Hongbo (38')
Zhang (35'), Bao (52'), Memisevic (78')
Wu (65'), Elkeson (87' pen.), Shihao (90+1')
Xin (56')
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