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Dinghao Yan
21'
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Nicolae Stanciu
23'
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Xie Pengfei
48'
Guangzhou vs Wuhan Three Towns - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 70.8%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 11.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 1-0 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Guangzhou Goals
Wuhan Three Towns Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.31)
2-0 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 11.26%
0-0 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.29)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 17.94%
0-1 @ 11.22% ▼ (-0.27)
1-2 @ 9.5% ▲ (+0.20)
0-3 @ 9.29% ▼ (-0.56)
1-3 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.41)
1-4 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.17)
0-5 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.23)
1-5 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 70.79%
Yu Hou
10'
Shaocong Wu
74'