Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 72.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 9.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.39%) and 3-0 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Hebei win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.