Chinese Super League | Gameweek 9

Jul 8, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Tianhe Stadium

Guangzhou
0 - 1
Shanghai Port

Zhao (35'), Fan (49'), Hou (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Oscar (83' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou and Shanghai Port, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 75.15%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 8.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.96%) and 0-3 (10.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 1-0 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.

Result
Guangzhou	Draw	Shanghai Port
8.59% ( -0.13)	16.26% ( -0.24)	75.15% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 42.81% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.9% (

0.65)

43.09% (

-0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.5% (

0.64)

65.49% (

-0.65)

Guangzhou Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.47% (

0.14)

52.53% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.65% (

0.09)

86.35% (

-0.09)

Shanghai Port Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.19% (

0.26)

9.81% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.41% (

0.6)

32.59% (

-0.6)

Score Analysis

Guangzhou 8.59%

Shanghai Port 75.14%

Draw 16.26%

Guangzhou	Draw	Shanghai Port
1-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.73% Total : 8.59%	1-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.53% Total : 16.26%	0-2 @ 13.89% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 10.75% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.92% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 6.24% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 4.02% ( 0.08) 0-5 @ 2.9% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.87% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) 0-6 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.02% Total : 75.14%