Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 75.15%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 8.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.96%) and 0-3 (10.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 1-0 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.