Sports Mole previews Saturday's Chinese Super League clash between Wuhan and Shanghai Port, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
We said: Wuhan 1-2 Shanghai Port
Shanghai Port will surely be up for this one as they seek to exact revenge for a defeat in the last meeting between the teams. While we expect another close affair, we are backing the visitors to scrape a narrow win in the end.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Wuhan had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Wuhan win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Shanghai Port in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Shanghai Port.