Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 46.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Wuhan had a probability of 25.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Wuhan win it was 0-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.