Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai SIPG win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for Wuhan Zall had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai SIPG win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest Wuhan Zall win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai SIPG would win this match.