Sports Mole previews Monday's Chinese Super League clash between Shanghai Port and Hebei, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hebei 2-1 Wuhan
Thursday, June 30 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
We said: Shanghai Port 2-0 Hebei
While Hebei will look to build on their win over Wuhan, they have struggled for results on the road, where they last picked up a win back in May 2021. Looking at past results between the sides, Shanghai Port are firm favourites to come away with all three points and we are backing them to do just that.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 70.67%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 10%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.87%) and 3-0 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Hebei win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.