Chinese Super League | Gameweek 14
Aug 21, 2022 at 12pm UK
Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium

Shandong
2 - 1
Chengdu Qianbao

Crysan (16'), Moises (80' pen.)
Zheng (55'), Dalei (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Silva (60')
Gan (39')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Shandong Taishan and Chengdu Rongcheng.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shandong Taishan

Last Six:
Last Game: Hebei 0-7 Shandong
Monday, August 15 at 1pm in Chinese Super League

Chengdu Qianbao

Last Six:
Last Game: Sh. Shenhua 0-2 Chengdu Qianbao
Wednesday, August 17 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.

Result
Shandong TaishanDrawChengdu Qianbao
37.4% (-0.593 -0.59)28.35% (0.067 0.07)34.25% (0.527 0.53)
Both teams to score 46.68% (-0.12 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.41% (-0.183 -0.18)59.58% (0.183 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.08% (-0.14 -0.14)79.92% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Shandong Taishan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34% (-0.45 -0.45)30.66% (0.451 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.09% (-0.536 -0.54)66.91% (0.538 0.54)
Chengdu Qianbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.32% (0.26299999999999 0.26)32.68% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.77% (0.291 0.29)69.23% (-0.289 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Shandong Taishan 37.4%
    Chengdu Qianbao 34.25%
    Draw 28.33%
Shandong TaishanDrawChengdu Qianbao
1-0 @ 11.84% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.83% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-1 @ 3.09% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.76% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 37.4%
1-1 @ 13.24% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.01% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.33%
0-1 @ 11.2% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.41% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.27% (0.131 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 34.25%