Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 54.5%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 22.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Dalian Pro win it was 1-0 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.