Chinese Super League | Gameweek 17
Sep 25, 2022 at 1pm UK
Dujiangyan Sports Center Stadium
Henan

Chengdu Qianbao
0 - 0
Henan

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Chinese Super League clash between Chengdu Qianbao and Henan Songshan Longmen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chengdu Qianbao

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Last Game: Changchun 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao
Thursday, September 1 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
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Henan Songshan Longmen

Last Six:
Last Game: Henan 1-2 Shanghai Port
Tuesday, September 20 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 42.97%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 27.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 0-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Chengdu QianbaoDrawHenan Songshan Longmen
42.97% (0.466 0.47)29.58% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)27.45% (-0.475 -0.47)
Both teams to score 41.22% (-0.266 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.76% (-0.2 -0.2)65.23% (0.19999999999999 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.94% (-0.139 -0.14)84.05% (0.14 0.14)
Chengdu Qianbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.77% (0.161 0.16)30.23% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.61% (0.194 0.19)66.39% (-0.193 -0.19)
Henan Songshan Longmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.08% (-0.518 -0.52)40.92% (0.519 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.51% (-0.467 -0.47)77.49% (0.467 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Chengdu Qianbao 42.96%
    Henan Songshan Longmen 27.45%
    Draw 29.57%
Chengdu QianbaoDrawHenan Songshan Longmen
1-0 @ 14.79% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 8.85% (0.143 0.14)
2-1 @ 7.91% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.53% (0.073 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.16% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.41% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 42.96%
1-1 @ 13.22% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 12.37% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 3.53% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 29.57%
0-1 @ 11.05% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.94% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 27.45%