Chinese Super League Gameweek 17
Sep 25, 2022 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Dujiangyan Sports Center Stadium

Chengdu Rongcheng vs Henan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chengdu Rongcheng

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
Sep 1, 2022 12.30pm
Changchun 0 - 1 Chengdu
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Romulo

Henan

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
Sep 20, 2022 12.30pm
Henan 1 - 2 Shanghai Port
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Fernando Karanga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 42.97%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 27.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 0-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Chengdu Rongcheng 42.97% (+0.47)
Draw 29.58% (+0.01)
Henan 27.45% (-0.48)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.22% (-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5 34.76% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 65.23% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 15.94% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 84.05% (+0.15)

Chengdu Rongcheng Goals

Over 0.5 69.77% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 30.23% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 33.61% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 66.39% (-0.20)

Henan Goals

Over 0.5 59.08% (-0.52)
Under 0.5 40.92% (+0.52)
Over 1.5 22.51% (-0.47)
Under 1.5 77.49% (+0.47)

Score analysis

Chengdu Rongcheng 42.96%
Draw 29.57%
Henan 27.45%
Chengdu Rongcheng
1-0 @ 14.79% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 8.85% (+0.15)
2-1 @ 7.91% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.53% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 3.16% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.41% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.06% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 42.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.22% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 12.37% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 3.53% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 29.57%
Henan
0-1 @ 11.05% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 4.94% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 27.45%