Chinese Super League | Gameweek 15

Aug 28, 2022 at 12pm UK

Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium

Henan
2 - 1
Guangzhou

Mierzejewski (26' pen.), Yang (49')
Yang (22'), Mawlanyaz (55'), Wang (83'), Zhong (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ling (77')
Wu (39'), Hao (80')

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Henan and Guangzhou.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 44.68%. A win for Guangzhou had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Guangzhou win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Henan Songshan Longmen would win this match.

Result
Henan Songshan Longmen	Draw	Guangzhou
44.68% ( -0.88)	26.48% ( 0.3)	28.84% ( 0.57)

Both teams to score 50.32% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.88% (

-0.89)

54.12% (

0.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.46% (

-0.75)

75.54% (

0.75)

Henan Songshan Longmen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.89% (

-0.81)

24.11% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.59% (

-1.16)

58.41% (

1.16)

Guangzhou Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.31% (

-0.03)

33.69% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.65% (

-0.03)

70.35% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Henan Songshan Longmen 44.67%

Guangzhou 28.84%

Draw 26.48%

Henan Songshan Longmen	Draw	Guangzhou
1-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.63% Total : 44.67%	1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.48%	0-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.37% Total : 28.84%