Chinese Super League | Gameweek 12
Aug 5, 2021 at 1pm UK
Tianhe Stadium
Henan

Guangzhou
2 - 0
Henan

Carvalho (55'), Aloisio (73')
Shihao (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou and Henan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou win with a probability of 63.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 16.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 1-2 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou would win this match.

Result
GuangzhouDrawHenan
63.7%19.72%16.58%
Both teams to score 56.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.42%38.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.13%60.87%
Guangzhou Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.5%11.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.64%36.36%
Henan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.53%36.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.75%73.25%
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou 63.7%
    Henan 16.58%
    Draw 19.72%
GuangzhouDrawHenan
2-1 @ 9.9%
2-0 @ 9.81%
1-0 @ 9.07%
3-1 @ 7.14%
3-0 @ 7.07%
4-1 @ 3.86%
4-0 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 3.6%
4-2 @ 1.95%
5-1 @ 1.67%
5-0 @ 1.66%
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 63.7%
1-1 @ 9.15%
2-2 @ 4.99%
0-0 @ 4.19%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.72%
1-2 @ 4.61%
0-1 @ 4.23%
0-2 @ 2.13%
2-3 @ 1.68%
1-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 16.58%