Chinese Super League | Gameweek 11

Aug 7, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium

Henan
3 - 0
Beijing Guoan

Dourado (9'), Zhong (41'), Karanga (90')
Mierzejewski (61'), Sunjic (73')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Dabao (4'), Chengdong (86')

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Henan and Beijing Guoan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Henan Songshan Longmen would win this match.

Result
Henan Songshan Longmen	Draw	Beijing Guoan
39.13% ( 0.11)	26.48% ( 0.04)	34.39% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 52.43% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.62% (

-0.16)

52.37% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.94% (

-0.14)

74.06% (

0.14)

Henan Songshan Longmen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.81% (

-0.01)

26.19% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.72% (

-0.02)

61.28% (

0.02)

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.03% (

-0.17)

28.97% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.14% (

-0.21)

64.86% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Henan Songshan Longmen 39.13%

Beijing Guoan 34.39%

Draw 26.47%

Henan Songshan Longmen	Draw	Beijing Guoan
1-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 39.13%	1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.47%	0-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.39%