Shenzhen FC
Chinese Super League | Gameweek 10
Jul 11, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Shenzhen Universiade Sports Centre

Shenzhen
2 - 1
Beijing Guoan

Lin (57'), Mincheng (85')
Yuanyi (30'), Shinar (31'), Yongpo (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wang (28')
Memisevic (40'), Yang (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Chinese Super League clash between Shenzhen and Beijing Guoan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shenzhen

Last Six:
Last Game: Cangzhou 1-2 Shenzhen
Thursday, July 7 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

Beijing Guoan

Last Six:
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 0-0 Meizhou Hakka
Thursday, July 7 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shenzhen would win this match.

Result
ShenzhenDrawBeijing Guoan
39.57% (0.721 0.72)26.36% (-0.137 -0.14)34.07% (-0.581 -0.58)
Both teams to score 52.76% (0.348 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.07% (0.49299999999999 0.49)51.93% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.33% (0.425 0.43)73.67% (-0.423 -0.42)
Shenzhen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.26% (0.61999999999999 0.62)25.74% (-0.618 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.32% (0.835 0.84)60.68% (-0.832 -0.83)
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (-0.124 -0.12)28.95% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.17% (-0.154 -0.15)64.83% (0.15599999999999 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Shenzhen 39.57%
    Beijing Guoan 34.07%
    Draw 26.35%
ShenzhenDrawBeijing Guoan
1-0 @ 10.11% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.105 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.86% (0.108 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.85% (0.113 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.1% (0.102 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 39.57%
1-1 @ 12.53% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.45% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 9.24% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-2 @ 7.77% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.73% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 34.07%

How you voted: Shenzhen vs Beijing Guoan

Shenzhen
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Beijing Guoan
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Jun 21, 2022 9.30am
Beijing Guoan
4-1
Shenzhen
Zhang (2', 60'), Dabao (52'), Ziming (88')
Wang (43'), Zou (47'), Memisevic (58')
Acheampong (63')
Jan 4, 2022 7.30am
Shenzhen
0-1
Beijing Guoan

Yuan (32'), Zhou (54'), Shuai (61'), Yuanyi (79')
Cao (11')
Dec 22, 2021 10am
Beijing Guoan
2-2
Shenzhen
Silva (10'), Zhang (69')
Sen (81'), Li (90+2')
Pengxiang (19')
Kardec (62'), Yuanyi (89')
Yuan (20'), Lin (25')
Zhou (13')
Sep 13, 2019 12.35pm
Shenzhen
1-1
Beijing Guoan
Chao (15')
Sousa (3'), Yuanyi (21'), Ge (30')
Bakambu (74')
Zhongguo (3')
May 12, 2019 12.35pm
Beijing Guoan
3-0
Shenzhen
Bakambu (12', 19'), Augusto (62')

Peng (15'), Xin (24'), Yuan (48'), Wei (90')