Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Shenzhen had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Shenzhen win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Meizhou Hakka in this match.