Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 20.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.81%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 1-0 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.