Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 36.06%. A win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Zhejiang Professional win was 0-1 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.