Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.