Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 80.36%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 6.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.8%) and 1-0 (10.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a Hebei win it was 0-1 (2.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.