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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 12
Aug 11, 2022 at 1pm UK
Pennant Hills Park
Tianjin Jinmen

Hebei
3 - 4
Tianjin Jinmen

Zhang (30'), Yao (57'), Zhao (81')
Zhang (43'), Gao (72'), Ximing (90+3'), Haifeng (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Xie (21', 50'), Merida (54'), Dun (82')
Beric (90+3')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Hebei and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hebei

Last Six:
Last Game: Hebei 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao
Friday, August 5 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

Last Six:
Last Game: Tianjin Jinmen 0-1 Shandong
Saturday, August 6 at 1pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 19.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.12%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Hebei win it was 1-0 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger would win this match.

Result
HebeiDrawTianjin Jinmen Tiger
19.01% (0.402 0.4) 24.02% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06) 56.97% (-0.334 -0.33)
Both teams to score 47.12% (0.833 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.95% (0.765 0.77)53.05% (-0.761 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.37% (0.648 0.65)74.64% (-0.64399999999999 -0.64)
Hebei Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.78% (0.912 0.91)42.22% (-0.908 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.38% (0.778 0.78)78.62% (-0.774 -0.77)
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (0.161 0.16)18.46% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.36% (0.272 0.27)49.64% (-0.26799999999999 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Hebei 19.01%
    Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 56.96%
    Draw 24.01%
HebeiDrawTianjin Jinmen Tiger
1-0 @ 6.72% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-1 @ 4.9% (0.121 0.12)
2-0 @ 2.9% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 1.41% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.19% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 19.01%
1-1 @ 11.35%
0-0 @ 7.79% (-0.236 -0.24)
2-2 @ 4.14% (0.123 0.12)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 24.01%
0-1 @ 13.16% (-0.33 -0.33)
0-2 @ 11.12% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-2 @ 9.59% (0.051 0.05)
0-3 @ 6.27% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-3 @ 5.4% (0.056 0.06)
0-4 @ 2.65% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.081 0.08)
1-4 @ 2.28% (0.035 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 56.96%

How you voted: Hebei vs Tianjin Jinmen

Hebei
40.0%
Draw
0.0%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2021 1.30pm
Hebei
2-1
Tianjin Jinmen
Zhang (8'), Hongbo (40')
Cui (45+3'), Memisevic (47'), Selnaes (85')
Cruz (20' pen.)
Qian (81'), Jiarun (83')
May 5, 2021 11am
Tianjin Jinmen
0-1
Hebei

Kadar (63'), Jiarun (72')
Cong (77')
Hongbo (40')
Hongbo (33'), Paulinho (61'), Ximing (67'), Qiuming (71')
Sep 22, 2020 11am
Tianjin Jinmen
0-1
Hebei

Hui (49')
Marcao (90+1')
Qiuming (25'), Haifeng (42'), Marcao (51'), Hang (79')
Aug 17, 2020 1pm
Hebei
2-0
Tianjin Jinmen
Goulart (36'), Marcao (45+1' pen.)
Haifeng (47')
Sep 21, 2019 12.35pm
Hebei
2-1
Tianjin Jinmen
Fernandinho (23'), Marcao (77')
Chengdong (48'), Fernandinho (49'), Ximing (68'), Mascherano (86'), Chi (90')
Wagner (42')
Hao (49')
rhs 2.0
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