Chinese Super League Gameweek 24
Nov 8, 2022 11.30am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Workers' Stadium
  • goal Hanwen Deng 45'+1'
  • goal Ademilson 90'+5'

Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan Three Towns - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Beijing Guoan

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
Nov 4, 2022 11.30am
Beijing Guoan 2 - 1 Henan
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Yuning Zhang

Wuhan Three Towns

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
Nov 3, 2022 11.30am
Wuhan TT 4 - 1 Guangzhou City
Goals scored
88
Top scorer
Marcao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.

Result

Beijing Guoan 34.21% (-0.05)
Draw 25.6% (-0.01)
Wuhan Three Towns 40.2% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.31% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.34% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 48.66% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 29.22% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 70.77% (-0.03)

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5 72.72% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 27.28% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 37.28% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 62.72% (+0.03)

Wuhan Three Towns Goals

Over 0.5 76.06% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 23.94% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 41.84% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 58.16% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Beijing Guoan 34.21%
Draw 25.59%
Wuhan Three Towns 40.2%
Beijing Guoan
1-0 @ 8.48% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.51% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.41% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 34.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.53% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.63% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.59%
Wuhan Three Towns
0-1 @ 9.34% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.67% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.67% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.13% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.18% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.48% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 40.2%

Head to Head

Chinese Super League Gameweek 12
Aug 12, 2022 12.30pm
5
1
HT : 2 1
FT Wuhan Sports Center Stadium
  • Marcao 6' goal
  • Marcao 12' yellowcard
  • Marcao 20' goal
  • Marcao 50' goal
  • Marcao 61' goal
  • Davidson 68' goal
  • yellowcard Yongjing Cao 25'
  • goal Yuning Zhang 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Zhang Chengdong 82'