Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 79.51%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 6.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.4%) and 1-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.46%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (2.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.