Shanghai Port
Chinese Super League | Gameweek 17
Sep 25, 2022 at 10.30am UK
Shanghai Stadium

Shanghai Port
2 - 0
Guangzhou City

Shenchao (32'), Ndiaye (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Chinese Super League clash between Shanghai Port and Guangzhou City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shanghai Port

Last Six:
Last Game: Henan 1-2 Shanghai Port
Tuesday, September 20 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

Guangzhou City

Last Six:
Last Game: Guangzhou City 1-0 Guangzhou
Tuesday, September 13 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 74.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 8.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.59%) and 3-0 (11.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Shanghai Port in this match.

Result
Shanghai PortDrawGuangzhou City
74.33% (-0.396 -0.4)17.49% (0.244 0.24)8.17% (0.1529 0.15)
Both teams to score 37.18% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.22% (-0.499 -0.5)49.78% (0.501 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.21% (-0.449 -0.45)71.79% (0.45 0.45)
Shanghai Port Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.18% (-0.249 -0.25)11.82% (0.25 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.94% (-0.536 -0.54)37.06% (0.537 0.54)
Guangzhou City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.17% (0.058 0.06)57.83% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.5% (0.030999999999999 0.03)89.5% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Shanghai Port 74.31%
    Guangzhou City 8.18%
    Draw 17.49%
Shanghai PortDrawGuangzhou City
2-0 @ 15.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 14.59% (0.15 0.15)
3-0 @ 11.09% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.08% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 5.92% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-1 @ 3.24% (-0.058 -0.06)
5-0 @ 2.53% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.39% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 74.31%
1-1 @ 7.99% (0.097 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.84% (0.138 0.14)
2-2 @ 2.34% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 17.49%
0-1 @ 3.74% (0.082 0.08)
1-2 @ 2.19% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.03% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 8.18%

Head to Head
Dec 29, 2021 12pm
Guangzhou City
1-2
Shanghai Port
Wenjie (59')
Teng (76')
Mooy (15', 45')
Jinghang (76')
Dec 16, 2021 1.15pm
Shanghai Port
1-0
Guangzhou City
Wenjun (15')
Paulinho (42'), Oscar (80')

Gong (44'), Tixiang (45+3'), Pengfei (81')
Sep 26, 2020 1am
Guangzhou City
P-P
Shanghai Port
May 17, 2020 1am
Shanghai Port
P-P
Guangzhou City
Aug 9, 2019 12.35pm
Guangzhou City
2-2
Shanghai Port
Zhi (61'), Tosic (98')
Gong (45')
Arnautovic (69' pen.), Jinghang (78')
Ke (38'), Chuangyi (45')